Last Updated: 28/11/2025
Improving the management of epidemic malaria in refugee camp settings
Objectives
The first goal of the project will be to develop a simple model that predicts the effect of different intervention techniques, utilising routine surveillance data collected by MSF. The second aim of the project is to extend this simple model to recommend intervention strategies to MSF fieldworkers in a refugee camp setting. The intervention recommendations provided by the simple model will be validated against a larger, well-established malaria model. The end goal will be for the simple model to be fast and easily usable by MSF fieldworkers, whilst also recommending intervention strategies that would be corroborated by the use of a slower, more complex model.
As malaria is successfully controlled, the nature of the disease in many areas is changing from being stable and endemic to being generally free of malaria with sudden outbreaks of the disease. This shift in the epidemiology of malaria requires us to rethink whether current modelling approaches and elimination strategies are appropriate for this new setting. This project will be in collaboration with Médicins Sans Frontières (MSF), using their routinely collected incidence data on malaria cases collected from refugee camps in places such as South Sudan and the DRC.
Oct 2014 — Sep 2018
$240,657
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