Last Updated: 27/02/2024

Mathematical modeling of the transmission dynamics of malaria in South Sudan

Objectives

This project intends to construct and analyze mathematical models for malaria transmission in South Sudan context incorporating national malaria control strategic plan. In addition, important factors such as climatic conditions and population mobility that may drive malaria in South Sudan will be investigated. Furthermore, a stochastic version of the deterministic model will be studied by introducing a white noise.

Principal Investigators / Focal Persons

Abdulaziz Yagoub Abdelrahman Mukhtar

Rationale and Abstract

Malaria is a common infection in tropical areas, transmitted between humans through female anopheles mosquito bites as it seeks blood meal to carry out egg production. The infection forms a direct threat to the lives of many people in South Sudan. Reports show that malaria caused a large proportion of morbidity and mortality in the fledgling nation, accounting for 20% to 40% morbidity and 20% to 25% mortality, with the majority of the affected people being children and pregnant mothers.

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